Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.002610 0.002784 0.002971 0.003188 0.003436 0.003711 0.004044
2025-01-05 0.002316 0.002545 0.002807 0.003131 0.003530 0.004015 0.004664
2025-01-12 0.002091 0.002343 0.002642 0.003029 0.003531 0.004183 0.005137
2025-01-19 0.001965 0.002237 0.002570 0.003019 0.003631 0.004478 0.005833
2025-01-26 0.001788 0.002052 0.002379 0.002830 0.003460 0.004363 0.005883
2025-02-02 0.001724 0.002002 0.002354 0.002852 0.003578 0.004678 0.006695
2025-02-09 0.001694 0.001990 0.002374 0.002936 0.003792 0.005175 0.008005
2025-02-16 0.001643 0.001947 0.002348 0.002949 0.003896 0.005511 0.009146
2025-02-23 0.001627 0.001948 0.002382 0.003051 0.004155 0.006177 0.011435
2025-03-02 0.001567 0.001887 0.002324 0.003007 0.004162 0.006364 0.012617
2025-03-09 0.001504 0.001817 0.002248 0.002931 0.004103 0.006403 0.013392
2025-03-16 0.001485 0.001807 0.002258 0.002989 0.004289 0.007011 0.016754
2025-03-23 0.001459 0.001790 0.002260 0.003040 0.004485 0.007745 0.022304
2025-03-30 0.001408 0.001735 0.002203 0.002990 0.004482 0.008000 0.026293
2025-04-06 0.001350 0.001667 0.002123 0.002896 0.004379 0.007963 0.028447
2025-04-13 0.001317 0.001634 0.002095 0.002887 0.004449 0.008438 0.037428
2025-04-20 0.001246 0.001544 0.001975 0.002712 0.004152 0.007759 0.031730
2025-04-27 0.001226 0.001527 0.001967 0.002733 0.004274 0.008388 0.046127
2025-05-04 0.001220 0.001530 0.001991 0.002811 0.004532 0.009595 0.107529
2025-05-11 0.001200 0.001511 0.001978 0.002823 0.004643 0.010369 0.332164
2025-05-18 0.001198 0.001520 0.002010 0.002917 0.004970 0.012280 NaN
2025-05-25 0.001170 0.001486 0.001971 0.002877 0.004953 0.012651 NaN
2025-06-01 0.001137 0.001445 0.001919 0.002806 0.004850 0.012545 NaN